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The model I use most frequently simply involves reversals off the Z-score bands and generates the signals noted above.
BTW, I've simplified the position of the P&L relative to R2 into 3 categories in order to minimize confusion.
Per yesterday's comments, the signals are continuing to turn negative as the open Q longs all show negative momo while the net short positions of the Qs both show positive momo.
The fact that the Qs/UUP pair has an ascending P&L in the face of a short signal is not inconsistent as our goal is simply to keep adding to our net gain however we can.
The Qs/VIX pair continues to provide a contrarian signal and, as mentioned previously, should not be considered tradeable but simply used as a momentum indicator.
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What's not clear is whether this disparity of performance is unique to the Qs basket of whether this is more universal. Additional pair basket tests should help resolve this question.
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